Clipped from: https://www.financialexpress.com/market/chinas-latest-steps-unlikely-to-spook-indian-equities-3660302/?ref=hometop_hp
The foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold Rs 91,933 crore ($10.9 billion) in India in October тАФ the highest ever monthly outflow recorded from Indian equities.
Dhiraj Relli, MD and CEO of HDFC Securities, expects the current pace of FPI outflows to moderate in the next few weeks.
The latest stimulus measures announced by China to revive its economy are unlikely to spook Indian equities this time around due to the nature of the latest measures and changes in international trade environment, according to experts.
тАЬThis time it is more to do with substitution of debt, rather than getting new money into economy for productive capacity creating. The markets expected something more than that,тАЭ said UR Bhat, co-founder of Alphaniti Fintech.
тАЬWhat is more noteworthy is what is Trump going to do in terms of tariff. If huge tariff barriers are built, I donтАЩt think those problems can be solved by (this) stimulus package,тАЭ he added.
On Friday, China unveiled a 10 trillion yuan ($ 1.4 trillion) programme to help resolve its local government debt crisis, in a bid to shore up its slowing economy.
ChinaтАЩs previous stimulus measure in late September had led to a sharp inflow of foreign money into its equity market at the expense of India and other emerging markets.
The foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold Rs 91,933 crore ($10.9 billion) in India in October тАФ the highest ever monthly outflow recorded from Indian equities. However, experts do not see a repeat of such aggressive sell-off as a result of the latest measures.
Dhiraj Relli, MD and CEO of HDFC Securities, expects the current pace of FPI outflows to moderate in the next few weeks.
тАЬIt does not address ChinaтАЩs deep-rooted structural issues, such as its property woes, which are far from fixed. ChinaтАЩs debt-to-GDP ratio climbed to a record 287.8% last year, and recent measures will add to its debt burden,тАЭ Relli said.
тАЬA stimulus is good to perk-up the economy. But whether that sustains is a big question mark? It needs domestic consumption to continue increasing and the international environment to be conducive for exports to grow,тАЭ said Ambareesh Baliga, an independent market analyst.
тАЬLooking at what has happened in the US with Trump being elected, it is not clear how conducive international environment would be,тАЭ Baliga said.