Hindustan Zinc’s performance in the June quarter may have been softer than its record March quarter numbers with
zinc and lead prices seeing some correction due to weak Chinese data. But, the company’s overall prospects remain strong given the improved data for the month of June, which has led to a rebound in base metal prices in recent weeks.
Zinc prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) averaged at $2,596 in the June quarter, which was 35 per cent higher year-on-year (y-o-y), but were 6.6 per cent lower sequentially. Average lead prices, too, were 26 per cent higher y-o-y at $2,161, but 5.1 per cent down sequentially. Hence overall realisations were to get softer. But, prices are inching up again with
zinc around $2,730 and lead at $2,198.
On volumes, too, the company continues to grow well with mined metal production at 233,000 tonne increasing 84 per cent y-o-y in the June quarter, driving integrated lead and
zinc production higher by 81 per cent y-o-y and silver production by 30 per cent. While this was also on a low base as mining plans in FY17 were such that the June 2016 quarter saw lower mined metal production, production growth still beat analysts’ estimates.
Zinc volumes were 7 per cent ahead of estimates at
Motilal Oswal Securities.
Growing production, despite slightly soft realisations sequentially, helped revenues from operations, at Rs 5,013 crore, beat Bloomberg consensus estimates of Rs 4,869 crore. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda), at Rs 2,404 crore, was lower than consensus estimates of Rs 2,585 crore. Net profit, at Rs1,876 crore, thus also fell short of estimates of Rs 2,004 crore.
Given the strong outlook for base metal prices and the company’s rising production, Hindustan Zinc, which is among the lowest cost producers globally, stands to gain. The company also reiterated that the smelter debottlenecking and the fumer project (for additional silver, lead and zinc recovery) was progressing according to plan, and was on course to achieve its guidance of reaching 1.2 million tonne (mt) mined metal by FY20. Analysts at